Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.232396 0.267471 0.305182 0.348641 0.397233 0.449782 0.510801
2026-02-01 0.173110 0.219663 0.273807 0.340994 0.421657 0.514891 0.630278
2026-02-08 0.131762 0.183686 0.248751 0.335210 0.445885 0.581526 0.758883
2026-02-15 0.101202 0.154645 0.226589 0.328522 0.466906 0.645655 0.890969
2026-02-22 0.082121 0.136794 0.215440 0.333533 0.502426 0.730784 1.057425
2026-03-01 0.065074 0.118158 0.199668 0.329108 0.523573 0.797909 1.205483
2026-03-08 0.052929 0.104385 0.188424 0.328979 0.549807 0.873401 1.370527
2026-03-15 0.042427 0.090934 0.175154 0.323296 0.566226 0.935192 1.519982
2026-03-22 0.037045 0.085381 0.173846 0.336239 0.612207 1.043887 1.745669
2026-03-29 0.032520 0.080415 0.172602 0.348757 0.658190 1.155490 1.982839
2026-04-05 0.027517 0.073282 0.166103 0.350912 0.686589 1.240851 2.184317
2026-04-12 0.023091 0.066288 0.158605 0.349989 0.709080 1.317596 2.376234
2026-04-19 0.019222 0.059675 0.150908 0.347943 0.729826 1.393803 2.573891
2026-04-26 0.016059 0.053934 0.144019 0.346478 0.751303 1.472583 2.780661
2026-05-03 0.013405 0.048747 0.137387 0.344543 0.771480 1.550224 2.989963
2026-05-10 0.011068 0.043710 0.130126 0.340181 0.786289 1.619007 3.187740
2026-05-17 0.009672 0.041057 0.128123 0.346956 0.823604 1.730642 3.466227
2026-05-24 0.008038 0.037065 0.121951 0.343402 0.839369 1.803250 3.679074
2026-05-31 0.006825 0.034069 0.117799 0.343921 0.863471 1.892742 3.926759
2026-06-07 0.005613 0.030577 0.111541 0.338431 0.874037 1.956686 4.130651
2026-06-14 0.005132 0.029796 0.112945 0.352154 0.927691 2.107523 4.503091
2026-06-21 0.004683 0.028981 0.114097 0.365350 0.981150 2.260802 4.886982
2026-06-28 0.004036 0.027005 0.111261 0.367706 1.010107 2.366497 5.185151